I think Lydon has the best shot to become a solid role player. I like Sumner, if healthy, but there is too much hinging on the condition of the knee of the already 21-year old.
To reiterate, the model tracks the probability of a player becoming an All Star, meaning it is looking at the players with the highest ceilings.
Although the three point shot is more difficult and converted less, it gives a team the benefit of that extra point.
Considering the statistics we had available and the difficulty in predicting future success, our model performed well.
I have been writing about NBA defense lately, and here is my next exploration considering how to structure a defense in today's NBA. As Zach Lowe wrote a few months back, NBA offense may just as well be in its most efficient and potent state in the history of the sport. With analytics experts crunching … Continue reading Defending the Modern NBA Offense
The Houston Rockets have the second best offensive rating in the league this year, but at the same time, are sporting a below average defense. Currently, the Rockets have a 4-game lead over the Utah Jazz for the 3-seed in the Western Conference. Is there potent offense enough to carry them through the playoffs? Well, … Continue reading How Much Does Defense Matter?
As analytics continue to take on a more substantial role in modern basketball, teams are not the only ones trying to grasp at these new advanced statistics. Now, fans of the league are trying to comprehend the meaning behind these new stats. Fans are now paying attention to effective field goal percentage, box-plus minus, real-plus … Continue reading The Problem with PER