One of the more subtle stories of the dawn of the statistical revolution in baseball was the case of Frank Thomas. Frank was a big slugger, but not exactly graceful in the field. Since he played in the American League for a long while, he often was slotted as the DH. On paper, this would … Continue reading Please, Play Miguel Sano at Third Base
With the (in)famous cap spike in the summer of 2016, the NBA saw a huge increase in the base level of contracts shelled out to free agents. Look at what Solomon Hill ($12mm) and Allen Crabbe (about $19mm) got. Both are solid players, the latter superior to the former, but they raked home deals that would be … Continue reading Predicting NBA Free Agency… Plus a Review of the Ricky Rubio Trade
With about 3 hours before the draft, here are my final prospect rankings. I used a combination of three metrics and weights to arrive at my final ranking. Note that columns from right to left indicate likelihood of all-star, starter, and roll-player. A team such as the Spurs or Warriors who do not need another … Continue reading Final NBA Draft Board
Today, many different stats trying to quantify NBA efficiency are out there, whether its Real Plus Minus, Box Plus Minus, Win Shares, and many others. Recently I wrote how PER is a bad statistic( a lot of the reason may be because of its arbitrary weights it places on its inputs); they all have pluses and … Continue reading A New Way to Measure Efficiency
Almost one year ago, I took my initial stab at sabermetrics writing about how the Twins’ fabled philosophy of “pitch to contact” was being stifled by the club’s own inability to field the ball. If you are putting that much faith in your defense, it would make sense that you would have the defensive ability … Continue reading The Secret to the Twins’ Success
I think Lydon has the best shot to become a solid role player. I like Sumner, if healthy, but there is too much hinging on the condition of the knee of the already 21-year old.
To reiterate, the model tracks the probability of a player becoming an All Star, meaning it is looking at the players with the highest ceilings.